Leadership opinion polling for the 2011 Spanish general election

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Leadership opinion polling for the 2011 Spanish general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

In the run up to the 2011 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 9 March 2008, to the day the next election was held, on 20 November 2011.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Pérez Rubalcaba PSOE	Rajoy PP
GESOP/El Periódico^[1]	7–12 Nov 2011	2,070	33.7	44.7	–	–	11.0
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER^[2]	9–10 Nov 2011	1,000	30.8	41.1	17.1	11.0	10.3
Noxa/La Vanguardia^[3]	7–10 Nov 2011	1,275	31.0	44.0	22.0	3.0	13.0
TNS Demoscopia/CEMOP^[4]	2–7 Nov 2011	1,505	42.2	44.5	10.2	3.2	2.3
CIS^[5]	6–23 Oct 2011	17,236	36.9	38.8	18.7	5.5	1.9
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[6]	17–20 Oct 2011	1,800	34.3	36.7	22.9	6.0	2.4
Metroscopia/El País^[7]	11–13 Oct 2011	1,500	36.0	43.0	–	21.0	7.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia^[8]	28 Sep–4 Oct 2011	1,272	37.0	44.0	17.0	2.0	7.0
GESOP/El Periódico^[9]	19–22 Sep 2011	1,000	33.7	42.5	–	–	8.8
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER^[10]	7–8 Sep 2011	1,000	34.1	39.1	13.6	13.2	5.0
Metroscopia/El País^[11]	7–8 Sep 2011	1,002	40.0	35.0	–	25.0	5.0
Metroscopia/El País^[12]	27–28 Jul 2011	1,203	45.0	37.0	–	18.0	8.0
CIS^[13]	4–11 Jul 2011	2,475	39.9	31.9	19.4	8.8	8.0
Metroscopia/El País^[14]	29–30 Jun 2011	1,001	44.0	36.0	–	20.0	8.0
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER^[15]	20–21 Jun 2011	1,000	35.1	39.3	12.9	12.7	4.2
Metroscopia/El País^[16]	1–2 Jun 2011	1,001	42.0	36.0	–	22.0	6.0
GESOP/El Periódico^[9]	30 May–1 Jun 2011	1,000	40.8	35.4	–	–	5.4
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER^[17]	6–7 Apr 2011	1,000	44.7	39.1	12.8	3.4	5.6
InvyMark/laSexta^[18]^[19]	2 Apr 2011	?	57.1	31.6	–	–	25.5

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Chacón PSOE	Rajoy PP
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER^[17]	6–7 Apr 2011	1,000	45.8	39.8	10.8	3.7	6.0
InvyMark/laSexta^[18]	2 Apr 2011	?	56.9	31.9	–	–	25.0

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Rodríguez Zapatero PSOE	Rajoy PP
Opina/Cadena SER^[20]	1–2 Feb 2011	1,000	32.7	40.4	17.2	9.7	7.7
Opina/Cadena SER^[21]	12–13 Jan 2011	1,000	33.2	36.9	20.6	10.3	3.7
GESOP/El Periódico^[22]	15–17 Dec 2010	1,000	28.2	39.5	–	–	11.3
Opina/Cadena SER^[23]	28–29 Oct 2010	1,000	37.1	39.1	15.0	8.8	2.0
Opina/Cadena SER^[24]	7–8 Oct 2010	1,000	31.1	38.5	18.8	11.6	7.4
Opina/Cadena SER^[25]	30–31 Aug 2010	1,000	33.4	36.8	19.3	10.6	3.4
Metroscopia/El País^[26]	2 Jun 2010	506	37.0	38.0	23.0	3.0	1.0
GESOP/El Periódico^[27]	17–21 May 2010	1,500	31.3	34.3	–	–	3.0
GESOP/El Periódico^[28]	14–17 Dec 2009	1,500	38.1	32.4	–	–	5.7
GESOP/El Periódico^[29]	11–15 May 2009	1,500	45.3	34.3	–	–	11.0
GESOP/El Periódico^[30]	12–13 Feb 2009	800	48.6	26.3	–	–	22.3
GESOP/El Periódico^[31]	20–24 Oct 2008	1,500	46.5	29.5	–	–	17.0
Opina/Cadena SER^[32]	26 Jun 2008	1,000	40.8	33.9	12.6	12.7	6.9
Opina/Cadena SER^[33]	12 Jun 2008	1,000	44.3	31.0	17.0	7.7	13.3
GESOP/El Periódico^[31]	26–30 May 2008	1,500	52.6	24.7	–	–	27.9

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Chacón PSOE	Rajoy PP
Metroscopia/El País^[35]	7 Jan 2010	504	34.0	48.0	2.0	16.0	12.0

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	?	Lead

			Pérez Rubalcaba PSOE	Ruiz- Gallardón PP
Metroscopia/El País^[37]	3–4 Feb 2010	500	24.0	54.0	4.0	18.0	30.0

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	Lead

			Rodríguez Zapatero PSOE	Ruiz- Gallardón PP
Metroscopia/El País^[36]	28–29 Oct 2009	501	28.0	56.0	16.0	28.0

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size			Other/ None/ Not care	Lead

			Rodríguez Zapatero PSOE	Aguirre PP
Metroscopia/El País^[36]	28–29 Oct 2009	501	53.0	33.0	14.0	20.0

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size

			Zapatero PSOE	Rubalcaba PSOE	Rajoy PP	Llamazares IU	Lara IU	Díez UPyD
GESOP/El Periódico^[38]	7–12 Nov 2011	2,070	–	4.7	5.2	–	4.1	5.0
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER^[2]	9–10 Nov 2011	1,000	3.05	4.07	4.18	–	–	–
Noxa/La Vanguardia^[3]	7–10 Nov 2011	1,275	–	4.90	4.85	–	4.13	4.65
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[39]	28 Oct–10 Nov 2011	3,000	–	4.26	4.58	–	–	4.41
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia^[40]	28 Oct–9 Nov 2011	?	–	4.86	4.42	–	–	–
Metroscopia/El País^[41]	18 Oct–8 Nov 2011	9,675	–	4.7	5.0	–	–	–
TNS Demoscopia/CEMOP^[4]	2–7 Nov 2011	1,505	3.60	4.60	4.34	–	–	–
Ipsos/La Nueva España^[42]	1–6 Nov 2011	3,935	–	4.79	4.69	–	–	–
Invymark/laSexta^[43]	31 Oct–4 Nov 2011	?	–	4.41	4.20	–	–	–
Metroscopia/El País^[44]	24–27 Oct 2011	1,500	3.4	4.5	4.7	–	–	5.0
CIS^[5]	6–23 Oct 2011	17,236	3.05	4.54	4.43	–	3.91	4.95
Invymark/laSexta^[43]	18–21 Oct 2011	?	–	4.44	4.42	–	–	–
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[6]	17–20 Oct 2011	1,800	–	4.7	4.7	–	4.2	5.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[45]	7–20 Oct 2011	3,000	3.61	4.24	4.77	–	3.37	4.29
Intercampo/GETS^[46]	15 Sep–17 Oct 2011	1,724	–	4.66	3.25	–	3.61	3.69
Metroscopia/El País^[7]	11–13 Oct 2011	1,500	3.3	4.3	4.7	–	3.9	4.9
Celeste-Tel/Terra^[34]	3–8 Oct 2011	1,357	–	4.5	3.9	–	3.2	4.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia^[8]	28 Sep–4 Oct 2011	1,272	–	4.9	4.6	–	3.9	4.8
CEMOP^[47]	26 Sep–4 Oct 2011	800	3.7	4.5	4.5	–	–	–
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[48]	27–30 Sep 2011	2,000	3.98	4.47	4.39	–	3.70	4.34
NC Report/La Razón^[49]	21–28 Sep 2011	1,000	–	4.4	4.5	–	3.6	4.5
GESOP/El Periódico^[50]^[9]	19–22 Sep 2011	1,000	–	4.6	5.0	–	3.8	5.0
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER^[10]	7–8 Sep 2011	1,000	3.14	4.32	3.93	–	–	–
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[51]	29 Aug–1 Sep 2011	1,000	3.86	4.46	4.18	–	3.54	4.22
NC Report/La Razón^[52]	28 Aug 2011	?	2.7	4.3	4.4	–	–	4.4
DYM/ABC^[53]	2–3 Aug 2011	1,076	–	4.8	4.1	–	3.7	4.7
NC Report/La Razón^[54]	29–30 Jul 2011	1,000	–	4.3	4.4	–	3.3	4.4
CIS^[13]	4–11 Jul 2011	2,475	3.47	4.62	3.58	–	3.03	3.95
GAD/COPE^[55]	1–5 Jul 2011	504	3.6	–	3.9	–	–	–
ASEP^[56]	1 Jun–1 Jul 2011	1,110	2.8	3.5	3.1	–	2.8	3.5
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER^[15]	20–21 Jun 2011	1,000	3.00	4.09	3.80	–	–	–
GAD/COPE^[57]	3–7 Jun 2011	501	3.8	–	4.2	–	–	–
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[58]	1–2 Jun 2011	1,000	3.95	4.61	4.18	–	3.71	4.23
NC Report/La Razón^[59]^[60]	29 May–2 Jun 2011	1,000	3.0	4.2	4.3	–	3.6	4.4
GESOP/El Periódico^[61]	30 May–1 Jun 2011	1,000	3.6	4.9	4.3	–	4.4	4.8
ASEP^[56]	1–31 May 2011	1,108	3.5	–	3.5	–	3.7	4.3
Ikerfel/Vocento^[62]	4–22 Apr 2011	45,635	3.1	–	3.0	–	–	–
NC Report/La Razón^[63]	18–20 Apr 2011	1,000	3.2	–	4.1	–	3.2	4.2
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[64]	11–19 Apr 2011	2,005	3.6	–	4.0	–	–	–
CIS^[65]	1–8 Apr 2011	2,463	3.41	–	3.46	–	2.96	3.86
Opinión 2000/Cadena SER^[17]	6–7 Apr 2011	1,000	3.40	–	3.91	–	–	–
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[66]	5–7 Apr 2011	1,000	3.93	–	4.10	–	3.62	4.34
GAD/COPE^[67]	1–5 Apr 2011	500	3.8	–	4.1	–	–	–
NC Report/La Razón^[68]	2 Apr 2011	1,000	3.2	–	4.0	–	–	4.1
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[69]	21–24 Mar 2011	1,201	3.5	–	4.3	–	4.0	4.7
ASEP^[56]	1 Feb–2 Mar 2011	1,189	3.1	–	3.5	–	3.6	4.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[70]	21–25 Feb 2011	1,982	3.5	–	4.3	–	3.8	4.7
NC Report/La Razón^[60]	17–23 Feb 2011	1,000	3.3	–	4.0	–	–	–
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3^[71]	21–22 Feb 2011	?	3.3	–	3.4	–	–	–
Opina/Cadena SER^[20]	1–2 Feb 2011	1,000	3.33	–	3.77	–	–	–
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[72]	17–21 Jan 2011	2,082	3.2	–	4.1	–	3.8	4.5
CIS^[73]	7–16 Jan 2011	2,478	3.30	–	3.25	–	3.04	3.75
Opina/Cadena SER^[21]	12–13 Jan 2011	1,000	3.35	–	3.63	–	–	–
DYM/ABC^[74]	20–30 Dec 2010	1,058	3.1	–	3.6	–	–	–
GESOP/El Periódico^[22]	15–17 Dec 2010	1,000	3.5	–	4.2	–	4.0	4.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[75]	13–16 Dec 2010	1,600	3.3	–	4.1	–	3.6	4.5
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[76]	2–11 Nov 2010	2,402	3.4	–	4.1	–	3.8	4.7
ASEP^[56]	1–31 Oct 2010	1,096	3.1	–	3.1	–	3.0	4.0
Opina/Cadena SER^[23]	28–29 Oct 2010	1,000	3.39	–	3.70	–	–	–
Noxa/La Vanguardia^[77]	25–28 Oct 2010	1,000	4.0	–	3.9	–	3.8	–
CIS^[78]^[79]	4–14 Oct 2010	2,475	3.46	–	3.42	–	3.08	3.89
Opina/Cadena SER^[24]	7–8 Oct 2010	1,000	3.38	–	3.64	–	–	–
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[80]	20 Sep–7 Oct 2010	2,329	3.3	–	4.2	–	3.7	4.8
Opina/Cadena SER^[25]	30–31 Aug 2010	1,000	3.55	–	3.67	–	–	–
CIS^[81]	15–22 Jul 2010	2,472	3.48	–	3.14	–	2.85	3.69
NC Report/La Razón^[82]^[83]	25 May–9 Jul 2010	2,000	3.7	–	4.3	–	3.4	4.9
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[84]	17 May–9 Jun 2010	?	3.4	–	3.9	–	3.7	4.5
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[85]	20 Apr–19 May 2010	4,002	3.6	–	4.0	–	3.8	4.6
NC Report/La Razón^[86]	26–30 Apr 2010	1,000	4.0	–	3.9	–	3.5	4.2
CIS^[87]	6–14 Apr 2010	2,479	3.71	–	3.09	–	3.01	3.71
NC Report/La Razón^[88]	31 Mar 2010	1,000	4.0	–	3.9	–	3.3	4.4
NC Report/La Razón^[89]	24–26 Feb 2010	1,000	4.1	–	3.9	–	3.3	4.2
NC Report/La Razón^[90]	25 Jan–6 Feb 2010	1,000	4.1	–	4.0	–	3.3	4.3
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[91]	11–27 Jan 2010	3,206	4.0	–	4.2	–	4.0	5.0
CIS^[92]	9–21 Jan 2010	2,477	3.98	–	3.50	–	3.08	4.08
NC Report/La Razón^[93]	8 Jan 2010	?	4.2	–	4.1	–	3.4	4.4
ASEP^[56]	1–31 Dec 2009	1,118	4.4	–	3.5	–	3.8	4.6
Noxa/La Vanguardia^[94]	28–29 Dec 2009	807	4.6	–	3.8	–	3.9	–
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Públicoo^[95]	9 Nov–2 Dec 2009	3,201	4.1	–	4.1	–	3.9	5.0
ASEP^[56]	1–30 Nov 2009	1,215	4.0	–	3.4	–	3.7	4.5
NC Report/La Razón^[96]	23–26 Nov 2009	1,000	4.2	–	4.0	–	3.5	4.5
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[97]	13 Oct–4 Nov 2009	3,204	4.0	–	4.1	–	3.8	4.8
ASEP^[56]	1–31 Oct 2009	1,101	3.7	–	3.4	–	3.3	4.4
NC Report/La Razón^[98]	28–30 Oct 2009	1,000	4.3	–	3.8	–	3.6	4.6
CIS^[99]	7–14 Oct 2009	2,478	4.11	–	3.61	–	3.09	4.08
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[100]	16 Sep–7 Oct 2009	3,202	4.0	–	4.0	–	3.9	4.8
Noxa/La Vanguardia^[101]	28 Sep–1 Oct 2009	1,000	4.4	–	4.2	–	3.8	–
ASEP^[56]	1–30 Sep 2009	1,100	3.8	–	3.3	–	3.6	4.3
ASEP^[56]	1–31 Jul 2009	1,103	4.0	–	3.6	–	3.6	4.7
CIS^[102]	7–13 Jul 2009	2,482	4.27	–	3.55	–	3.12	4.12
NC Report/La Razón^[103]	1–3 Jul 2009	1,000	4.4	–	4.2	–	3.7	4.8
ASEP^[56]	1–30 Jun 2009	1,100	4.1	–	3.5	–	3.6	4.8
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[104]	25 May–17 Jun 2009	3,200	4.4	–	4.1	–	3.9	5.1
ASEP^[56]	1–30 May 2009	1,101	4.4	–	3.7	–	4.1	4.9
Noxa/La Vanguardia^[105]	25–28 May 2009	1,000	4.9	–	4.0	–	3.8	4.9
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[106]	27 Apr–20 May 2009	3,206	4.4	–	4.1	–	4.0	5.1
ASEP^[56]	1 Apr–1 May 2009	1,103	4.4	–	3.5	–	3.8	4.6
NC Report/La Razón^[107]	27–30 Apr 2009	1,000	4.5	–	4.4	–	–	4.8
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[108]	24 Mar–22 Apr 2009	3,204	4.5	–	4.4	–	3.9	4.9
CIS^[109]	14–21 Apr 2009	2,481	4.43	–	3.54	–	3.31	4.28
ASEP^[56]	1–31 Mar 2009	1,103	4.5	–	3.6	–	3.9	4.6
NC Report/La Razón^[110]	28 Mar 2009	?	4.60	–	4.44	–	3.62	4.78
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[111]	25 Feb–18 Mar 2009	3,205	4.4	–	4.4	–	3.8	4.8
ASEP^[56]	23 Feb–1 Mar 2009	1,103	4.4	–	3.3	–	3.6	4.4
NC Report/La Razón^[112]	26–30 Jan 2009	1,000	4.7	–	4.3	–	–	4.8
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[113]	10–20 Jan 2009	1,600	4.5	–	4.0	–	4.2	5.0
CIS^[114]	9–19 Jan 2009	2,482	4.55	–	3.51	–	3.49	4.43
NC Report/La Razón^[115]	29 Dec–2 Jan 2009	1,000	4.8	–	4.4	–	3.7	4.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[116]	22–26 Dec 2008	1,000	5.16	–	4.34	3.66	–	4.73
Noxa/La Vanguardia^[117]	15–19 Dec 2008	1,000	5.3	–	4.4	3.5	–	4.4
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[118]	25 Nov–18 Dec 2008	3,198	4.9	–	4.4	4.0	–	4.9
NC Report/La Razón^[119]	24–27 Nov 2008	1,000	4.8	–	4.6	3.6	–	4.7
DYM/ABC^[120]	13–20 Nov 2008	1,012	5.1	–	4.0	–	–	–
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[121]	27 Oct–20 Nov 2008	3,203	4.7	–	4.3	3.8	–	5.1
NC Report/La Razón^[122]	27–30 Oct 2008	1,000	4.8	–	4.7	–	–	4.6
GESOP/El Periódico^[31]	20–24 Oct 2008	1,500	5.1	–	4.4	4.2	–	–
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[123]	29 Sep–23 Oct 2008	3,203	4.9	–	4.3	4.0	–	4.8
CIS^[124]	1–9 Oct 2008	2,481	4.73	–	3.88	3.11	–	–
Invymark/laSexta^[125]	29 Sep–3 Oct 2008	?	4.93	–	4.31	–	–	–
NC Report/La Razón^[126]	29 Sep–2 Oct 2008	1,000	4.94	–	4.68	3.97	–	4.58
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público^[127]	8–25 Sep 2008	3,171	4.8	–	4.7	4.0	–	–
Noxa/La Vanguardia^[128]	15–18 Sep 2008	1,000	5.2	–	4.6	3.8	–	4.8
CIS^[129]	7–13 Jul 2008	2,468	4.75	–	3.99	3.29	–	–
Metroscopia/El País^[130]	9–10 Jul 2008	703	4.8	–	4.3	3.9	–	–
Opina/Cadena SER^[32]	26 Jun 2008	1,000	4.81	–	4.60	3.79	–	–
ASEP^[56]	9–15 Jun 2008	1,206	4.5	–	3.5	3.5	–	–
Opina/Cadena SER^[33]	12 Jun 2008	1,000	4.76	–	4.23	3.81	–	–
Sigma Dos/El Mundo^[131]	10–12 Jun 2008	1,000	4.98	–	4.90	4.03	–	5.31
GESOP/El Periódico^[132]	26–30 May 2008	1,500	5.6	–	4.4	4.2	–	–
ASEP^[56]	12–18 May 2008	1,210	5.1	–	3.7	3.8	–	–
CIS^[133]	24–30 Apr 2008	2,459	5.58	–	4.24	3.34	–	–
ASEP^[56]	14–20 Apr 2008	1,204	5.0	–	3.9	3.5	–	–

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba (PSOE)

			Y	N	?	Net
					?	Net
Simple Lógica^[134]	2–10 Nov 2011	1,009	30.6	58.1	11.3	−27.5
Ipsos/La Nueva España^[42]	1–6 Nov 2011	3,935	59.2	36.8	4.0	+22.4
Simple Lógica^[134]	3–10 Oct 2011	?	27.0	?	?	−?
Simple Lógica^[134]	1–8 Sep 2011	1,022	29.8	?	?	−?
Simple Lógica^[134]	2–10 Aug 2011	1,014	30.6	?	?	−?
Simple Lógica^[134]	4–12 Jul 2011	?	33.3	?	?	−?
Metroscopia/El País^[14]	29–30 Jun 2011	1,001	52.0	41.0	7.0	+11.0
Simple Lógica^[134]	1–6 Jun 2011	1,000	37.0	?	?	−?

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Gaspar Llamazares (IU)

			Y	N	?	Net
					?	Net
Simple Lógica^[176]	29 Sep–7 Oct 2008	1,006	21.6	54.5	23.9	−32.9

Preferred prime pinister

Rubalcaba vs. Rajoy

Chacón vs. Rajoy

Zapatero vs. Rajoy

Predicted prime minister

Rubalcaba vs. Rajoy

Chacón vs. Rajoy

Zapatero vs. Rajoy

Rubalcaba vs. Gallardón

Zapatero vs. Gallardón

Zapatero vs. Aguirre

Leader ratings

Approval ratings

Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

Mariano Rajoy

Gaspar Llamazares

Cayo Lara

References