Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2029 European Parliament election

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Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2029 European Parliament election - Wikipedia

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This article lists EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates as well as national polls for the 2029 European Parliament election.^[1]^[2]

Seat projections

This table lists the seat projections for the political groups of the European Parliament. The projections can be based on an aggregation of national european election polls, national election polls and election results from all member states.

Organisation	Release date	Ref.	The Left	S&D	G/EFA	Renew	EPP	ECR	PfE	ESN	NI	Others^[a]	Lead
Organisation	Release date	Ref.										Others^[a]	Lead
Der Föderalist	7 Oct 2024	^[3]	44	136	41	79	186	74	96	26	29	9	50
Europe Elects	30 Sep 2024	^[4]	46	141	40	73	185	82	93	27	31	2	44
Europe Elects	31 Aug 2024	^[2]	45	140	44	72	186	80	92	26	32	3	46
Der Föderalist	12 Aug 2024	^[5]	44	137	45	77	191	73	88	25	31	9	54
2024 European Parliament election	6-9 June 2024	^[6]	46	136	53	77	188	78	84	25	33	–	52

Popular vote projections

This table lists the vote share projection for the political groups of the European Parliament. The projections can be based on an aggregation of national european election polls, national election polls and election results from all member states.

Organisation	Release date	Ref.	The Left	S&D	G/EFA	Renew	EPP	ECR	PfE	ESN	NI	Others^[b]	Lead
Organisation	Release date	Ref.										Others^[b]	Lead
Europe Elects	31 Oct 2024	^[7]	8.5%	18.3%	6.4%	10.5%	23.4%	10.2%	10.7%	5.1%	4%	2.9%	5.1%
Europe Elects	30 Sep 2024	^[4]	8.1%	18.9%	7.1%	9.4%	23.6%	9.3%	9.9%	5.2%	4.4%	3.5%	4.7%
Europe Elects	31 Aug 2024	^[2]	6.7%	17.7%	6.0%	8.4%	22.8%	9.3%	9.1%	5.1%	3.9%	7.8%	5.1%
2024 European Parliament election	6-9 June 2024	^[8]	6.74%	18.82%	8.88%	10.68%	20.80%	12.22%	9.36%^[c]	–	9.07%	3.43%	1.98%

Notes

^ Seats for national parties that are not represented in the European Parliament and do not belong to any European party.
^ Vote share for national parties that are not represented in the European Parliament and do not belong to any European party.
^ As Identity and Democracy group in the 2024 election.

References

^ "European Parliament 2024-2029 Constitutive session". European Parliament. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
^ ^a ^b ^c "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
^ Müller, Manuel (16 August 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (August 2024): EPP continues to gain ground". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
^ ^a ^b "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 20 October 2024.
^ Müller, Manuel (16 August 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (August 2024): EPP continues to gain ground". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
^ "European Parliament 2024-2029". European Parliament. 23 July 2024.
^ "European Parliament projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2 November 2024.
^ "European Parliament Election 2024". europeelects.eu.

Opinion polling for future elections

Africa

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Asia

East

South and
Southeast

Bangladesh Malaysia Singapore Thailand
Philippines	Senate Local Laguna Marikina Santa Cruz Taguig

West

Europe

European Union

Central

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Germany	Baden-Württemberg Berlin Hamburg Mecklenburg-Vorpommern North Rhine-Westphalia Rhineland-Palatinate Saarland Saxony-Anhalt Schleswig-Holstein

Eastern

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Albania Croatia presidential Cyprus Greece Italy Kosovo Malta Montenegro Serbia Slovenia
Portugal	presidential Local Regional Madeira Azores
Spain	Andalusia Aragon Asturias Balearic Islands Canary Islands Cantabria Castilla and León Castilla–La Mancha Catalonia Extremadura Madrid Murcia Navarre Valencia Local Barcelona Ceuta Madrid Valencia

Western

France presidential Liechtenstein Netherlands
United Kingdom	Northern Ireland Scotland Wales

North
America

Canada	Alberta Manitoba Newfoundland and Labrador Nova Scotia Ontario Prince Edward Island Quebec Yukon
Caribbean and Central	Bahamas Haiti Honduras Jamaica
United States	Local Jersey City New York City

Oceania

New Zealand
Australia	New South Wales South Australia Tasmania Victoria Western Australia

South
America

Unless otherwise stated, all links are for parliamentary elections.

v t e Elections to the European Parliament
1979	Belgium Denmark (including Greenland) France Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands United Kingdom West Germany
1984	Belgium Denmark (including Greenland) France Greece Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands United Kingdom West Germany
1989	Belgium Denmark France Greece Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands Portugal Spain United Kingdom West Germany
1994	Belgium Denmark France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands Portugal Spain United Kingdom
1999	Austria Belgium Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands Portugal Spain Sweden United Kingdom
2004	Austria Belgium Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom (including Gibraltar)
2009	Austria Belgium Bulgaria Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom (including Gibraltar)
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2019	Austria Belgium Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom (including Gibraltar)
2024	Austria Belgium Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden
2029	Austria Belgium Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden
Off-year	Greece (1981) Portugal (1987) Spain (1987) Sweden (1995) Austria (1996) Finland (1996) Bulgaria (2007) Romania (2007) Croatia (2013) UK by-elections (1979–1998)

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